
"Mean Jean" Stothert is losing.
I don't have any data to support that conclusion, but the latest campaign ad from the Stothert campaign sure sends a strong message that her campaign is desperate to dig themselves out of the hole they find themselves in the last week of the campaign.
So desperate that they are having manufacture issues against county treasurer John Ewing that really don't stand scrutiny. Some of them are reaches, like calling out 60 year old formulas that were later found to be incorrect that Ewing's office had to redo. And then there is the whopper: claiming that Ewing backs some LGBTQ policies that some social conservatives don't like. And their explanation, courtesy of the World-Herald?
Stothert’s campaign did not say the ad is based on any statement from Ewing. It said it based the ad’s assertion on support Ewing has received from groups that oppose efforts to limit bathroom use and sports team participation based on biological sex, including the Nebraska Democratic Party and Nebraska Stonewall Democrats.
Seriously. That's a ludicrous reach of the transitive property that wouldn't even fly in middle school. And when Stothert complains that the Ewing campaign shouldn't associate Mean Jean with Donald Trump...well, maybe Stothert shouldn't have endorsed Donald Trump in the first place.
This turn in the campaign has alienated a lot of moderates who previously supported her. It's a craven reach to salvage her relationship with conservatives that probably hate Stothert's betrayal on the streetcar. The streetcar is a visionary project that has the potential to redefines how people navigate the midtown and downtown areas, but with a huge initial investment. It takes a lot of effort to convince skeptics of the eventual benefits, and Stothert has failed miserably in that effort.
When the Omaha primary results were finalized, it was clear Stothert was in trouble. Yes, she got more votes than everyone else...but over 60% of primary voters wanted someone other than Stothert. And I just don't see how Stothert gets many of those votes back. Mike McDonnell campaigned hard against the streetcar and Stothert's failures in public safety staffing, and those voters won't be going back to Stothert.
Unless Stothert somehow convinces those voters that Ewing is this big scary monster and a threat to their families. Problem is that she's now alienated those moderates who believe that she's led a Renaissance of growth in the city. I'm not sure I see that, because for every project that actually gets underway (Mutual of Omaha tower), there are two that don't go anywhere (Crossroads and Civic Auditorium sites). And some of them raise questions about the overall city plan, such as spending millions to uglify the old Borders at 72nd and Dodge only to tear it down a few years later to build a new library.
Bottom line to me is that Stothert's failures at the basics are enough to call for new leadership. When ConAgra was signalling that they might be leaving Omaha, Stothert waited until literally the last minute to reach out to ConAgra's CEO to discuss the situation. Time and time again, a light winter storm shuts down the city; it's now to the point where schools have to call off school the night before when snow is in the forecast because they know the city can't handle it. Last December, I saw that at least two prominent meteorologists questioned the city's preparation for the ice storm.
So this is how Mean Jean goes out... an ugly end that leaves a bad taste in the mouth for much of the city. Omaha deserves better than what Jean Stothert has delivered.